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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.93+1.40vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+3.36vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.39+3.09vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+3.59vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine1.06+2.01vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.61+2.92vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.53-1.35vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.61+0.92vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.06+1.86vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.62-1.16vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.61-2.08vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.01-1.21vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.92-5.26vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.43-1.70vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-0.43-2.59vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47-3.41vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles0.61-8.28vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-0.62-5.02vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-0.54-6.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4University of Southern California2.930.4%1st Place
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5.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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6.09University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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7.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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7.01University of California at Irvine1.060.1%1st Place
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8.92California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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5.65University of California at Berkeley1.530.1%1st Place
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8.92California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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10.86University of California at Los Angeles-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.620.0%1st Place
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8.92California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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10.79University of California at Los Angeles0.010.0%1st Place
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7.74University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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12.3University of California at Berkeley-0.430.0%1st Place
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12.41University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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12.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.470.0%1st Place
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8.72University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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12.98Arizona State University-0.620.0%1st Place
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12.73University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Hecht | 39.1% | 23.9% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 9.4% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Picus | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Denise Martinez | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Emil Sebastian Aspelin | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alana McSween | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Chaffey | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sierra Apillanes | 1.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 20.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Barr | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 19.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.