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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.93+1.31vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+3.07vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.53+2.23vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay0.61+4.29vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.39+0.70vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.43+5.58vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.61+1.29vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.54+3.84vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.61-0.95vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-3.02vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.01-0.76vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay0.61-3.71vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.62-0.95vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-0.43-2.52vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.62-6.96vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.06-5.76vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles0.92-9.81vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47-6.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31University of Southern California2.930.4%1st Place
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5.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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5.23University of California at Berkeley1.530.1%1st Place
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8.29California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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5.7University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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11.58University of California at Berkeley-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.29California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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11.84University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
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8.05University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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6.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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10.24University of California at Los Angeles0.010.0%1st Place
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8.29California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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12.05Arizona State University-0.620.0%1st Place
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11.48University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.620.0%1st Place
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10.24University of California at Los Angeles-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.19University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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11.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Hecht | 41.0% | 25.0% | 15.5% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 10.9% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 2.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 7.6% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Emil Sebastian Aspelin | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 2.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Barr | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 18.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Denise Martinez | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 2.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sierra Apillanes | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 21.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alana McSween | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Picus | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Chaffey | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.