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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.93+1.31vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.39+3.66vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+2.09vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.61+4.30vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+2.08vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.61+2.25vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.01+3.20vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.61+0.25vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.43+2.38vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.62-1.99vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.92-3.89vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.06-1.66vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47-1.39vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-0.43-2.52vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-0.62-3.05vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.54-4.06vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay0.61-8.75vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley1.53-12.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31University of Southern California2.930.4%1st Place
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5.66University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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5.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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8.3University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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7.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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8.25California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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10.2University of California at Los Angeles0.010.0%1st Place
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8.25California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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11.38University of California at Berkeley-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.620.0%1st Place
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7.11University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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10.34University of California at Los Angeles-0.060.0%1st Place
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11.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.470.0%1st Place
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11.48University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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11.95Arizona State University-0.620.0%1st Place
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11.94University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
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8.25California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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5.29University of California at Berkeley1.530.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Hecht | 39.6% | 25.6% | 17.0% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 10.4% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Denise Martinez | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Emil Sebastian Aspelin | 0.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Picus | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Chaffey | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alana McSween | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sierra Apillanes | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 18.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Barr | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 17.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.