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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.93+1.40vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+3.34vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.39+3.09vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.53+1.67vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.62+3.54vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine1.06+1.31vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.61+1.75vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.47vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.06+2.29vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47+2.45vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.61-2.19vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-4.46vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay0.61-4.25vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-0.62-1.02vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-0.43-2.49vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles0.01-5.16vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-0.43-4.58vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-0.45-5.49vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay0.61-10.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4University of Southern California2.930.4%1st Place
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5.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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6.09University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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5.67University of California at Berkeley1.530.1%1st Place
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8.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.620.0%1st Place
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7.31University of California at Irvine1.060.1%1st Place
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8.75California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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7.53University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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11.29University of California at Los Angeles-0.060.0%1st Place
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12.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.470.0%1st Place
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8.81University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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7.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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8.75California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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12.98Arizona State University-0.620.0%1st Place
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12.51University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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10.84University of California at Los Angeles0.010.0%1st Place
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12.42University of California at Berkeley-0.430.0%1st Place
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12.51University of California at San Diego-0.450.0%1st Place
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8.75California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Hecht | 38.3% | 24.0% | 16.2% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 9.3% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 10.2% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Picus | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Chaffey | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sierra Apillanes | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 20.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alana McSween | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Denise Martinez | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Emil Sebastian Aspelin | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 16.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.