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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.96+3.10vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92+4.47vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University-0.84+6.02vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.80-0.02vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.16+1.86vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.52-0.97vs Predicted
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7Fordham University-0.35+3.40vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.25vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.43-0.61vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.07-3.46vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83-3.97vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy0.26-3.58vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-0.27-2.76vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.97-1.49vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-1.32-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1Cornell University1.9617.0%1st Place
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6.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.928.0%1st Place
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9.02Christopher Newport University-0.843.4%1st Place
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3.98Georgetown University1.8020.1%1st Place
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6.86University of Pennsylvania1.166.5%1st Place
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5.03Old Dominion University1.5212.8%1st Place
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10.4Fordham University-0.351.8%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.294.2%1st Place
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8.39Columbia University0.434.0%1st Place
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6.54George Washington University1.077.0%1st Place
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7.03St. Mary's College of Maryland0.836.4%1st Place
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8.42U. S. Naval Academy0.264.8%1st Place
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10.24SUNY Maritime College-0.272.4%1st Place
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12.51Princeton University-0.971.1%1st Place
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12.76Rochester Institute of Technology-1.320.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winborne Majette | 17.0% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Laura Smith | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 3.3% |
| Emily Doble | 20.1% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Marina Conde | 12.8% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Murray | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 8.6% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Eva DeCastro | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Lina Carper | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Linnea Forsberg | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 8.6% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 21.7% | 35.0% |
| Kristen McDonough | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 23.2% | 38.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.