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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.77+1.90vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology0.98+1.95vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.82-1.28vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.48-0.71vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester0.42-0.21vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.33-1.13vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester0.42-2.21vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-1.44-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9Queen's University1.770.2%1st Place
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3.95Rochester Institute of Technology0.980.1%1st Place
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1.72Fordham University2.820.5%1st Place
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3.29Cornell University1.480.1%1st Place
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4.79University of Rochester0.420.0%1st Place
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4.87McGill University0.330.0%1st Place
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4.79University of Rochester0.420.0%1st Place
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6.48Penn State University-1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Sullivan | 18.7% | 26.4% | 22.1% | 17.2% | 10.5% | 4.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hunt | 7.8% | 11.1% | 19.7% | 22.1% | 21.3% | 14.7% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gardner | 52.2% | 30.0% | 12.4% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Forrer | 13.3% | 19.1% | 22.6% | 22.8% | 15.4% | 6.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Troche | 3.6% | 6.1% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 24.7% | 29.3% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Witt | 3.4% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 15.5% | 21.1% | 33.8% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Troche | 3.6% | 6.1% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 24.7% | 29.3% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hutchison | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 11.5% | 75.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.