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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.59+10.97vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine0.08+6.81vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.33-0.64vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+9.52vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.15vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.44+5.17vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.14+1.41vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.66+4.29vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.07-0.16vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.39-2.59vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.14-2.59vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+1.99vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.01-3.88vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.89-0.69vs Predicted
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15-0.62-2.68vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.35-0.42vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay0.14-8.59vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley-1.33-2.96vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands0.15-10.24vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-1.32-4.96vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-1.64-4.71vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-1.82-4.76vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-1.88-5.71vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-14.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.590.0%1st Place
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8.81University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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2.36University of Southern California2.330.4%1st Place
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13.52University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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4.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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11.17University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
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8.41California State University Monterey Bay0.140.1%1st Place
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12.29University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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8.84University of Southern California0.070.0%1st Place
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7.41University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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8.41California State University Monterey Bay0.140.1%1st Place
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13.99University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.0%1st Place
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9.12University of California at Berkeley-0.010.0%1st Place
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13.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.890.0%1st Place
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12.32-0.620.0%1st Place
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15.58University of California at Los Angeles-1.350.0%1st Place
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8.41California State University Monterey Bay0.140.1%1st Place
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15.04University of California at Berkeley-1.330.0%1st Place
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8.76California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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15.04University of California at Irvine-1.320.0%1st Place
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16.29University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
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17.24Arizona State University-1.820.0%1st Place
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17.29University of California at Los Angeles-1.880.0%1st Place
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9.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Niemisto | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 37.8% | 27.1% | 15.7% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 12.8% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Gerber | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cullen Quine | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Melissa Schem | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 4.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Kelly | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Hogan | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Russell | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Stratte | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keir Oxford Pope | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| MyKha Pham | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kinton | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 21.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Lindsay | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 25.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Rinker | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.