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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+3.87vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine0.08+6.87vs Predicted
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3California State University Monterey Bay0.14+5.83vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.33-1.64vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.01+4.29vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.14+2.83vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+2.48vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.59+3.60vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.39-1.30vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.66+2.16vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California0.07-2.29vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+1.27vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.15-4.56vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.89-0.68vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay0.14-6.17vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.44-4.51vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-1.32-1.57vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-0.62-6.15vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.35-3.55vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-5.91vs Predicted
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21University of California at Berkeley-1.33-6.03vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-1.88-4.59vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis-1.64-6.66vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-1.82-6.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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8.87University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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8.83California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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2.36University of Southern California2.330.4%1st Place
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9.29University of California at Berkeley-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.83California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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9.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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11.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.590.0%1st Place
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7.7University of California at San Diego0.390.1%1st Place
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12.16University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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8.71University of Southern California0.070.0%1st Place
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13.27University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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8.44California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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13.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.890.0%1st Place
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8.83California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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11.49University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
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15.43University of California at Irvine-1.320.0%1st Place
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11.85University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
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15.45University of California at Los Angeles-1.350.0%1st Place
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14.09University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.0%1st Place
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14.97University of California at Berkeley-1.330.0%1st Place
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17.41University of California at Los Angeles-1.880.0%1st Place
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16.34University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
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17.08Arizona State University-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Carrick | 12.0% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 39.5% | 25.9% | 14.8% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Hogan | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Rinker | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Niemisto | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cullen Quine | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Melissa Schem | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Russell | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Gerber | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| MyKha Pham | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Stratte | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Kelly | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keir Oxford Pope | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Lindsay | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 23.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Naro | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 17.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kinton | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 20.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.