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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Monterey Bay0.14+7.61vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+7.44vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine0.08+6.00vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.33-1.63vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.07+3.89vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.59+5.84vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-2.28vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands0.15+0.62vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.39-1.51vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.01-0.91vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.14-2.39vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+2.00vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.44-1.94vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.35+1.27vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-1.24vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay0.14-7.39vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.89-3.39vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-0.66-5.96vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-1.64-2.43vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.82-2.89vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-1.88-3.80vs Predicted
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22University of California at Berkeley-1.33-6.69vs Predicted
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23-0.62-11.02vs Predicted
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24University of California at Irvine-1.32-8.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.61California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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9.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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9.0University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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2.37University of Southern California2.330.4%1st Place
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8.89University of Southern California0.070.0%1st Place
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11.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.590.0%1st Place
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4.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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8.62California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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7.49University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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9.09University of California at Berkeley-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.61California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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14.0University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.0%1st Place
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11.06University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
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15.27University of California at Los Angeles-1.350.0%1st Place
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13.76University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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8.61California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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13.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.890.0%1st Place
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12.04University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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16.57University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
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17.11Arizona State University-1.820.0%1st Place
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17.2University of California at Los Angeles-1.880.0%1st Place
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15.31University of California at Berkeley-1.330.0%1st Place
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11.98-0.620.0%1st Place
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15.03University of California at Irvine-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alicia Ward | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Rinker | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 39.1% | 26.0% | 15.8% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Melissa Schem | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Niemisto | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 13.0% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Hogan | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Kelly | 1.6% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Gerber | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Stratte | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Russell | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cullen Quine | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 16.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kinton | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 21.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Lindsay | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 22.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keir Oxford Pope | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| MyKha Pham | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.