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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+3.78vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.33+0.33vs Predicted
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3California State University Monterey Bay0.14+5.74vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.59+7.67vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay0.14+3.74vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.01+3.19vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.39+0.44vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands0.15+0.25vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+4.95vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.35+5.12vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+2.18vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-2.89vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.44-2.00vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine0.08-5.28vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay0.14-6.26vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California0.07-6.94vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-0.66-4.69vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.89-5.04vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-1.64-2.73vs Predicted
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20University of California at Berkeley-1.33-5.09vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-1.32-6.33vs Predicted
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22-0.62-10.05vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-1.88-6.07vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-3.28-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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2.33University of Southern California2.330.4%1st Place
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8.74California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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11.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.590.0%1st Place
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8.74California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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9.19University of California at Berkeley-0.010.0%1st Place
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7.44University of California at San Diego0.390.1%1st Place
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8.25California State University Channel Islands0.150.1%1st Place
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13.95University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.0%1st Place
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15.12University of California at Los Angeles-1.350.0%1st Place
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13.18University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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9.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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11.0University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
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8.72University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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8.74California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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9.06University of Southern California0.070.0%1st Place
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12.31University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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12.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.890.0%1st Place
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16.27University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
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14.91University of California at Berkeley-1.330.0%1st Place
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14.67University of California at Irvine-1.320.0%1st Place
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11.95-0.620.0%1st Place
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16.93University of California at Los Angeles-1.880.0%1st Place
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20.46Arizona State University-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Carrick | 12.1% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 39.1% | 26.4% | 15.6% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Niemisto | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Hogan | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Kelly | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Stratte | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Rinker | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Gerber | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Melissa Schem | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cullen Quine | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Russell | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 16.3% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keir Oxford Pope | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 3.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| MyKha Pham | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Lindsay | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 19.1% | 11.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrison Murphy | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 66.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.