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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.33+1.33vs Predicted
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2California State University Monterey Bay0.14+6.59vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+6.54vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.39+3.47vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.07+3.79vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine0.08+2.74vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.59+4.46vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.01+1.26vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.14-0.41vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-5.27vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.14-2.41vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+1.15vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.15-4.72vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-0.66-1.95vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-1.64+1.17vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.35-0.69vs Predicted
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17-0.62-4.84vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-4.27vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.89-5.79vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-1.32-5.14vs Predicted
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21University of California at Berkeley-1.33-6.28vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-0.44-10.88vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-1.88-6.11vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-3.28-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33University of Southern California2.330.4%1st Place
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8.59California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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9.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.47University of California at San Diego0.390.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Southern California0.070.0%1st Place
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8.74University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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11.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.590.0%1st Place
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9.26University of California at Berkeley-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.59California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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4.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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8.59California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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13.15University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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8.28California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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12.05University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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16.17University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
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15.31University of California at Los Angeles-1.350.0%1st Place
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12.16-0.620.0%1st Place
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13.73University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.0%1st Place
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13.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.890.0%1st Place
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14.86University of California at Irvine-1.320.0%1st Place
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14.72University of California at Berkeley-1.330.0%1st Place
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11.12University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
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16.89University of California at Los Angeles-1.880.0%1st Place
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20.46Arizona State University-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Wong | 41.3% | 22.9% | 16.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Rinker | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Melissa Schem | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Niemisto | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Hogan | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 11.8% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cullen Quine | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 6.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Stratte | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Kelly | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Russell | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| MyKha Pham | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keir Oxford Pope | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Gerber | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Lindsay | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 21.7% | 11.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrison Murphy | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 10.9% | 66.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.