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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2SUNY Stony Brook2.59-0.07vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91-0.16vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame1.12-0.15vs Predicted
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6Rice University0.70-1.54vs Predicted
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7Tulane University0.89-2.92vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.56-1.52vs Predicted
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9University of Texas-1.34-1.32vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-0.86-3.04vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University-0.71-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.93SUNY Stony Brook2.590.5%1st Place
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2.84Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.2%1st Place
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3.85University of Notre Dame1.120.1%1st Place
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4.46Rice University0.700.1%1st Place
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4.08Tulane University0.890.1%1st Place
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6.48Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.560.0%1st Place
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7.68University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
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6.96University of Notre Dame-0.860.0%1st Place
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6.72Texas A&M University-0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 47.3% | 26.7% | 15.9% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Schwinn | 20.8% | 26.9% | 21.9% | 15.0% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Schneider | 9.7% | 14.8% | 18.3% | 20.1% | 18.8% | 12.9% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Papert | 6.7% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 19.7% | 22.4% | 15.7% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Jessica Oswalt | 9.0% | 12.6% | 18.9% | 18.6% | 17.3% | 13.5% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Bryndin Hartman | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 23.1% | 21.9% | 12.8% |
| Aaron Comen | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 13.7% | 22.4% | 44.9% |
| Mae Raab | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 13.5% | 21.0% | 24.5% | 22.7% |
| Morgan Frakes | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 16.1% | 21.7% | 23.7% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.