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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.96+3.11vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+5.28vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.52+2.05vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+4.23vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92+1.45vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.07+0.42vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.16-0.30vs Predicted
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8Fordham University-0.35+2.50vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University-0.84-0.09vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University1.80-5.94vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.27-0.88vs Predicted
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12Columbia University0.43-3.82vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy0.26-4.31vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.97-1.42vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-1.32-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11Cornell University1.9618.4%1st Place
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7.28St. Mary's College of Maryland0.835.3%1st Place
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5.05Old Dominion University1.5212.2%1st Place
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8.23U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.294.6%1st Place
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6.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.927.3%1st Place
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6.42George Washington University1.078.8%1st Place
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6.7University of Pennsylvania1.167.8%1st Place
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10.5Fordham University-0.351.8%1st Place
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8.91Christopher Newport University-0.843.9%1st Place
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4.06Georgetown University1.8018.9%1st Place
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10.12SUNY Maritime College-0.272.2%1st Place
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8.18Columbia University0.433.9%1st Place
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8.69U. S. Naval Academy0.263.0%1st Place
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12.58Princeton University-0.971.0%1st Place
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12.73Rochester Institute of Technology-1.320.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winborne Majette | 18.4% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lina Carper | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Marina Conde | 12.2% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Deana Fedulova | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Adra Ivancich | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Murray | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 9.7% |
| Laura Smith | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Emily Doble | 18.9% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 6.8% |
| Eva DeCastro | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Linnea Forsberg | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 2.0% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 22.6% | 35.8% |
| Kristen McDonough | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 20.4% | 38.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.