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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology0.98+2.89vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.82-0.26vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.77-0.07vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.48-0.69vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester0.42-0.20vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester0.42-1.20vs Predicted
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7McGill University0.33-2.13vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-1.44-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89Rochester Institute of Technology0.980.1%1st Place
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1.74Fordham University2.820.5%1st Place
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2.93Queen's University1.770.2%1st Place
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3.31Cornell University1.480.1%1st Place
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4.8University of Rochester0.420.0%1st Place
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4.8University of Rochester0.420.0%1st Place
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4.87McGill University0.330.0%1st Place
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6.46Penn State University-1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hunt | 8.9% | 12.6% | 19.1% | 20.4% | 21.3% | 14.4% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gardner | 52.8% | 29.6% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 16.7% | 24.6% | 27.3% | 17.4% | 9.5% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Juan Forrer | 13.7% | 19.1% | 21.3% | 21.7% | 17.1% | 6.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Troche | 3.7% | 6.0% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 24.9% | 29.3% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Troche | 3.7% | 6.0% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 24.9% | 29.3% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Witt | 3.5% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 16.6% | 20.2% | 34.0% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hutchison | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 11.6% | 74.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.