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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2SUNY Stony Brook2.59-0.07vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91-0.18vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame1.12-0.14vs Predicted
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6Tulane University0.89-1.86vs Predicted
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7Rice University0.70-2.62vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-0.71-1.27vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-0.86-1.99vs Predicted
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10University of Texas-1.34-2.37vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.56-4.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.93SUNY Stony Brook2.590.5%1st Place
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2.82Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.2%1st Place
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3.86University of Notre Dame1.120.1%1st Place
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4.14Tulane University0.890.1%1st Place
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4.38Rice University0.700.1%1st Place
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6.73Texas A&M University-0.710.0%1st Place
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7.01University of Notre Dame-0.860.0%1st Place
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7.63University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
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6.5Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 47.9% | 26.2% | 15.2% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Schwinn | 20.6% | 27.5% | 22.7% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Schneider | 9.7% | 14.7% | 18.2% | 20.3% | 19.2% | 11.9% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jessica Oswalt | 8.2% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 21.0% | 19.2% | 13.3% | 7.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Papert | 7.4% | 10.5% | 16.3% | 18.5% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Morgan Frakes | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 15.5% | 20.5% | 24.6% | 17.1% |
| Mae Raab | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 13.7% | 21.1% | 25.9% | 22.2% |
| Aaron Comen | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 21.0% | 44.6% |
| Bryndin Hartman | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 18.5% | 21.6% | 21.1% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.