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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.89vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91-0.29vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.56+2.44vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.12-1.37vs Predicted
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7Rice University0.70-2.75vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-0.86-1.18vs Predicted
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9Tulane University0.26-3.92vs Predicted
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10University of Texas-1.34-2.44vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University-0.71-4.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89SUNY Stony Brook2.590.5%1st Place
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2.71Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.2%1st Place
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6.44Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.560.0%1st Place
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3.63University of Notre Dame1.120.1%1st Place
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4.25Rice University0.700.1%1st Place
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6.82University of Notre Dame-0.860.0%1st Place
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5.08Tulane University0.260.1%1st Place
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7.56University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
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6.62Texas A&M University-0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 48.2% | 27.7% | 14.3% | 7.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Schwinn | 21.2% | 29.8% | 23.0% | 14.3% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Bryndin Hartman | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 20.9% | 19.9% | 14.7% |
| John Schneider | 10.6% | 16.2% | 21.9% | 21.9% | 16.0% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Papert | 8.3% | 11.4% | 17.2% | 18.4% | 17.9% | 14.0% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Mae Raab | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 13.7% | 21.5% | 23.8% | 19.9% |
| David Graf | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 16.0% | 22.7% | 18.5% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 3.0% |
| Aaron Comen | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 21.2% | 43.1% |
| Morgan Frakes | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 16.6% | 18.4% | 22.8% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.