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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2SUNY Stony Brook2.59-0.12vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91-0.29vs Predicted
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5Tulane University0.26+0.09vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame1.12-2.39vs Predicted
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7Rice University0.70-2.77vs Predicted
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8University of Texas-1.34-0.46vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-0.86-2.09vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University-0.71-3.36vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.56-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88SUNY Stony Brook2.590.5%1st Place
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2.71Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.2%1st Place
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5.09Tulane University0.260.0%1st Place
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3.61University of Notre Dame1.120.1%1st Place
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4.23Rice University0.700.1%1st Place
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7.54University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
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6.91University of Notre Dame-0.860.0%1st Place
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6.64Texas A&M University-0.710.0%1st Place
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6.38Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 49.6% | 26.3% | 14.2% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Schwinn | 21.1% | 29.4% | 23.4% | 14.2% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Graf | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 20.5% | 20.0% | 15.6% | 6.9% | 2.0% |
| John Schneider | 10.9% | 16.5% | 20.9% | 23.6% | 14.6% | 9.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Papert | 7.8% | 12.0% | 16.7% | 19.0% | 18.6% | 13.9% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Aaron Comen | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 13.0% | 24.4% | 40.8% |
| Mae Raab | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 18.4% | 24.4% | 22.9% |
| Morgan Frakes | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 15.7% | 21.7% | 20.1% | 18.6% |
| Bryndin Hartman | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 12.1% | 17.2% | 20.3% | 18.6% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.