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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91+1.84vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.34+1.75vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook2.59-1.99vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.12-1.15vs Predicted
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6Rice University0.70-1.48vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-0.71-1.22vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-0.86-1.96vs Predicted
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10University of Texas-1.34-2.34vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.56-4.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.2%1st Place
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3.75Tulane University1.340.1%1st Place
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2.01SUNY Stony Brook2.590.4%1st Place
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3.85University of Notre Dame1.120.1%1st Place
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4.52Rice University0.700.1%1st Place
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6.78Texas A&M University-0.710.0%1st Place
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7.04University of Notre Dame-0.860.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
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6.56Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Schwinn | 22.5% | 24.6% | 20.6% | 17.3% | 9.9% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Watts | 9.4% | 15.7% | 20.9% | 21.5% | 17.2% | 9.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 44.5% | 27.9% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Schneider | 10.9% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 18.9% | 21.0% | 11.4% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Papert | 7.0% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 16.9% | 20.5% | 16.0% | 10.6% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Morgan Frakes | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 16.2% | 21.5% | 24.7% | 17.1% |
| Mae Raab | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 7.1% | 13.9% | 22.1% | 25.9% | 22.1% |
| Aaron Comen | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 14.4% | 21.4% | 44.5% |
| Bryndin Hartman | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 19.9% | 22.4% | 21.0% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.