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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rice University0.70+3.62vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.34+1.77vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame1.12-0.07vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91-2.30vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook2.59-4.03vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-0.86-1.01vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University-0.71-2.19vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.56-3.43vs Predicted
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11University of Texas-1.34-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62Rice University0.700.1%1st Place
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3.77Tulane University1.340.1%1st Place
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3.93University of Notre Dame1.120.1%1st Place
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2.7Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.2%1st Place
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1.97SUNY Stony Brook2.590.5%1st Place
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6.99University of Notre Dame-0.860.0%1st Place
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6.81Texas A&M University-0.710.0%1st Place
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6.57Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.560.0%1st Place
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7.64University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Papert | 6.6% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 20.9% | 18.8% | 11.0% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| Nick Watts | 8.6% | 15.0% | 21.6% | 22.8% | 17.2% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| John Schneider | 9.6% | 14.0% | 17.0% | 19.3% | 21.7% | 11.6% | 5.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Alex Schwinn | 23.0% | 28.0% | 21.2% | 16.3% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 46.9% | 26.7% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mae Raab | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 13.3% | 21.4% | 24.6% | 22.5% |
| Morgan Frakes | 1.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 8.7% | 16.0% | 21.9% | 25.5% | 16.9% |
| Bryndin Hartman | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 10.1% | 19.8% | 20.9% | 20.4% | 15.7% |
| Aaron Comen | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 14.6% | 22.7% | 43.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.