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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91+0.71vs Predicted
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3Tulane University0.89+1.40vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook2.59-2.07vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.12-1.27vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.56+0.44vs Predicted
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8Rice University0.70-3.55vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-0.86-2.00vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University-0.71-3.27vs Predicted
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11University of Texas-1.34-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.2%1st Place
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4.4Tulane University0.890.1%1st Place
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1.93SUNY Stony Brook2.590.5%1st Place
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3.73University of Notre Dame1.120.1%1st Place
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6.44Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.560.0%1st Place
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4.45Rice University0.700.1%1st Place
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7.0University of Notre Dame-0.860.0%1st Place
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6.73Texas A&M University-0.710.0%1st Place
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7.63University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Schwinn | 23.9% | 27.7% | 20.4% | 15.3% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Oswalt | 6.1% | 10.0% | 16.3% | 18.4% | 21.9% | 14.2% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 46.7% | 28.3% | 14.2% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Schneider | 11.9% | 14.9% | 19.8% | 19.2% | 18.4% | 10.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Bryndin Hartman | 1.6% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 17.5% | 20.3% | 20.0% | 14.7% |
| Samuel Papert | 5.9% | 9.7% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 19.7% | 19.5% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Mae Raab | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 13.5% | 20.4% | 27.1% | 21.7% |
| Morgan Frakes | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 22.1% | 23.7% | 17.7% |
| Aaron Comen | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 14.9% | 21.5% | 44.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.