← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91+1.70vs Predicted
-
2Tulane University0.89+2.35vs Predicted
-
4University of Notre Dame1.12-0.15vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Stony Brook2.59-3.09vs Predicted
-
7Rice University0.70-2.62vs Predicted
-
8Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.56-1.52vs Predicted
-
9University of Texas-1.34-1.33vs Predicted
-
10Texas A&M University-0.71-3.27vs Predicted
-
11University of Notre Dame-0.86-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.7Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.2%1st Place
-
4.35Tulane University0.890.1%1st Place
-
3.85University of Notre Dame1.120.1%1st Place
-
1.91SUNY Stony Brook2.590.5%1st Place
-
4.38Rice University0.700.1%1st Place
-
6.48Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.560.0%1st Place
-
7.67University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
-
6.73Texas A&M University-0.710.0%1st Place
-
6.94University of Notre Dame-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Schwinn | 23.8% | 28.1% | 20.5% | 14.9% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Oswalt | 6.5% | 8.1% | 16.8% | 22.4% | 20.2% | 14.9% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| John Schneider | 10.7% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 18.4% | 21.0% | 11.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 46.5% | 29.5% | 14.3% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Papert | 6.6% | 11.1% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 19.0% | 15.1% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Bryndin Hartman | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 16.8% | 23.0% | 20.9% | 13.3% |
| Aaron Comen | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 14.4% | 22.0% | 44.7% |
| Morgan Frakes | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 15.7% | 22.0% | 22.7% | 18.1% |
| Mae Raab | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 14.6% | 20.2% | 25.6% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.