← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2SUNY Stony Brook2.59-0.05vs Predicted
-
3Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91-0.17vs Predicted
-
4Rice University0.70+0.52vs Predicted
-
5Texas A&M University-0.71+1.67vs Predicted
-
6Tulane University0.89-1.92vs Predicted
-
7University of Notre Dame1.12-3.19vs Predicted
-
9University of Notre Dame-0.86-2.00vs Predicted
-
10Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.56-3.50vs Predicted
-
11University of Texas-1.34-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.95SUNY Stony Brook2.590.5%1st Place
-
2.83Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.2%1st Place
-
4.52Rice University0.700.1%1st Place
-
6.67Texas A&M University-0.710.0%1st Place
-
4.08Tulane University0.890.1%1st Place
-
3.81University of Notre Dame1.120.1%1st Place
-
7.0University of Notre Dame-0.860.0%1st Place
-
6.5Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.560.0%1st Place
-
7.64University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 46.6% | 28.0% | 14.2% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Schwinn | 20.9% | 27.2% | 21.3% | 16.0% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Papert | 5.9% | 8.9% | 16.1% | 17.2% | 20.1% | 17.3% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Morgan Frakes | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 23.8% | 22.6% | 16.3% |
| Jessica Oswalt | 9.2% | 13.9% | 16.9% | 18.1% | 19.1% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| John Schneider | 11.4% | 13.4% | 17.5% | 23.0% | 17.2% | 11.8% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Mae Raab | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 19.5% | 25.8% | 22.9% |
| Bryndin Hartman | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 18.8% | 21.4% | 20.3% | 15.0% |
| Aaron Comen | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 22.9% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.