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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2SUNY Stony Brook2.59-0.07vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91-0.18vs Predicted
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4Tulane University0.89+0.21vs Predicted
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5Rice University0.70-0.58vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame1.12-2.24vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-0.71-1.27vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.56-2.46vs Predicted
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10University of Texas-1.34-2.38vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame-0.86-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.93SUNY Stony Brook2.590.5%1st Place
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2.82Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.2%1st Place
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4.21Tulane University0.890.1%1st Place
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4.42Rice University0.700.1%1st Place
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3.76University of Notre Dame1.120.1%1st Place
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6.73Texas A&M University-0.710.0%1st Place
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6.54Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.560.0%1st Place
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7.62University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
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6.96University of Notre Dame-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 47.7% | 26.6% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Schwinn | 20.4% | 28.0% | 22.0% | 15.3% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jessica Oswalt | 7.4% | 10.6% | 17.2% | 20.7% | 18.5% | 16.1% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Papert | 6.8% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 19.2% | 21.3% | 16.4% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| John Schneider | 11.4% | 16.2% | 19.1% | 19.0% | 16.6% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Frakes | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 21.9% | 24.2% | 17.4% |
| Bryndin Hartman | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 10.8% | 17.5% | 22.6% | 21.8% | 13.5% |
| Aaron Comen | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 14.1% | 22.0% | 43.9% |
| Mae Raab | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 13.7% | 20.4% | 23.9% | 23.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.