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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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3SUNY Stony Brook2.59-0.97vs Predicted
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4Rice University0.70+0.77vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91-2.18vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame1.12-2.13vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.34-3.49vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.56-1.46vs Predicted
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9University of Texas-1.34-1.30vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University-0.71-3.23vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame-0.86-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03SUNY Stony Brook2.590.4%1st Place
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4.77Rice University0.700.0%1st Place
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2.82Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.2%1st Place
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3.87University of Notre Dame1.120.1%1st Place
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3.51Tulane University1.340.1%1st Place
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6.54Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.560.0%1st Place
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7.7University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
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6.77Texas A&M University-0.710.0%1st Place
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6.99University of Notre Dame-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 43.0% | 29.3% | 14.9% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Papert | 4.6% | 6.1% | 12.7% | 18.9% | 22.5% | 19.6% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Alex Schwinn | 22.7% | 24.8% | 21.0% | 16.5% | 10.5% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Schneider | 10.6% | 13.0% | 18.4% | 20.2% | 20.6% | 10.7% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Nick Watts | 13.1% | 20.0% | 20.2% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Bryndin Hartman | 1.8% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 17.6% | 23.1% | 21.5% | 13.5% |
| Aaron Comen | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 14.3% | 22.7% | 44.7% |
| Morgan Frakes | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 16.0% | 22.1% | 23.1% | 18.3% |
| Mae Raab | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 13.6% | 21.5% | 25.9% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.