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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.80+2.90vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.96+2.17vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.52+2.14vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.16+2.75vs Predicted
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5Columbia University0.43+3.24vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.26+2.52vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-0.47vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83-0.84vs Predicted
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9Fordham University-0.35+1.63vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.07-3.63vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University-0.84-1.87vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-3.84vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-0.27-2.79vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-1.32-1.43vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.97-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Georgetown University1.8020.6%1st Place
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4.17Cornell University1.9617.2%1st Place
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5.14Old Dominion University1.5211.7%1st Place
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6.75University of Pennsylvania1.167.4%1st Place
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8.24Columbia University0.434.0%1st Place
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8.52U. S. Naval Academy0.264.8%1st Place
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6.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.928.3%1st Place
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7.16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.835.9%1st Place
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10.63Fordham University-0.351.6%1st Place
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6.37George Washington University1.077.1%1st Place
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9.13Christopher Newport University-0.843.3%1st Place
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8.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.294.3%1st Place
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10.21SUNY Maritime College-0.272.1%1st Place
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12.57Rochester Institute of Technology-1.320.6%1st Place
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12.53Princeton University-0.971.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Doble | 20.6% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 17.2% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 11.7% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Eva DeCastro | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Linnea Forsberg | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Lina Carper | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Murray | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 9.9% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Laura Smith | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 8.9% |
| Kristen McDonough | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 20.9% | 36.1% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 20.5% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.