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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+1.03vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.34+1.65vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91-1.17vs Predicted
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6Rice University0.70-1.35vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame1.12-3.04vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.56-1.23vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-0.86-1.67vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University-0.71-2.99vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.84-2.27vs Predicted
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12University of Texas-1.34-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03SUNY Stony Brook2.590.5%1st Place
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3.65Tulane University1.340.1%1st Place
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2.83Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.2%1st Place
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4.65Rice University0.700.1%1st Place
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3.96University of Notre Dame1.120.1%1st Place
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6.77Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.560.0%1st Place
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7.33University of Notre Dame-0.860.0%1st Place
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7.01Texas A&M University-0.710.0%1st Place
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8.73Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.840.0%1st Place
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8.03University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 45.3% | 27.0% | 14.1% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Watts | 12.0% | 16.0% | 20.5% | 20.1% | 16.8% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Schwinn | 21.2% | 26.2% | 22.3% | 15.6% | 9.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Papert | 5.2% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 18.7% | 19.4% | 18.1% | 10.6% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| John Schneider | 10.4% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 20.9% | 18.9% | 11.4% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Bryndin Hartman | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 9.2% | 15.9% | 19.8% | 19.0% | 15.8% | 6.4% |
| Mae Raab | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 13.3% | 19.3% | 21.5% | 19.0% | 11.6% |
| Morgan Frakes | 1.5% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 18.8% | 21.0% | 16.9% | 8.7% |
| Kevin Dirksmeyer | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 21.3% | 47.6% |
| Aaron Comen | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 25.4% | 25.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.