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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.12+1.06vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University-0.60+1.78vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Galveston0.08-0.43vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.02+0.53vs Predicted
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6University of Texas-0.42-1.55vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-0.25-3.89vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-1.38-2.84vs Predicted
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10Rice University-0.97-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06Tulane University1.120.4%1st Place
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4.78Texas A&M University-0.600.1%1st Place
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3.57Texas A&M University at Galveston0.080.2%1st Place
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5.53Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.020.1%1st Place
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4.45University of Texas-0.420.1%1st Place
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4.11University of Notre Dame-0.250.1%1st Place
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6.16University of Notre Dame-1.380.0%1st Place
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5.36Rice University-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Cram | 43.6% | 29.1% | 13.9% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Oyston | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 9.6% |
| Octavio Frisoli Rodriguez | 16.2% | 16.9% | 19.4% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Haley Walker | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 16.9% | 20.0% | 21.1% |
| Caroline Bik | 8.0% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 7.4% |
| John O'Brien | 11.6% | 13.0% | 17.3% | 15.1% | 17.2% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 5.5% |
| Molly LaFave | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 19.1% | 37.8% |
| Zelun Wang | 3.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 19.5% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.