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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.12+1.04vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.02+3.56vs Predicted
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3University of Texas-0.42+1.41vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-0.25-1.85vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-0.60-2.24vs Predicted
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8Rice University-0.97-2.61vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Galveston0.08-5.38vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-1.38-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04Tulane University1.120.4%1st Place
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5.56Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.020.1%1st Place
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4.41University of Texas-0.420.1%1st Place
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4.15University of Notre Dame-0.250.1%1st Place
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4.76Texas A&M University-0.600.1%1st Place
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5.39Rice University-0.970.1%1st Place
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3.62Texas A&M University at Galveston0.080.2%1st Place
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6.06University of Notre Dame-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Cram | 44.9% | 26.8% | 15.4% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Haley Walker | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 20.6% | 22.2% |
| Caroline Bik | 8.6% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 6.8% |
| John O'Brien | 10.5% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 9.3% | 5.1% |
| Alexandra Oyston | 7.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 10.1% |
| Zelun Wang | 5.8% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 17.5% | 20.2% |
| Octavio Frisoli Rodriguez | 15.9% | 15.8% | 20.0% | 17.4% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Molly LaFave | 2.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 19.0% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.