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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston0.08+2.27vs Predicted
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4Tulane University0.47-1.27vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-0.25-1.06vs Predicted
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6University of Texas-1.04-0.64vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-0.60-2.43vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.32-3.97vs Predicted
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9Rice University-1.60-2.71vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-1.38-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Texas A&M University at Galveston0.080.2%1st Place
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2.73Tulane University0.470.3%1st Place
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3.94University of Notre Dame-0.250.1%1st Place
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5.36University of Texas-1.040.1%1st Place
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4.57Texas A&M University-0.600.1%1st Place
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4.03Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.320.1%1st Place
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6.29Rice University-1.600.0%1st Place
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5.82University of Notre Dame-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Octavio Frisoli Rodriguez | 20.9% | 19.8% | 18.7% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Malcolm Kriegel | 28.7% | 24.4% | 18.7% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| John O'Brien | 13.8% | 14.5% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 7.2% | 4.1% |
| Anish Zute | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 19.2% | 17.5% |
| Alexandra Oyston | 9.4% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 7.6% |
| Andrew Essenburgh | 12.9% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 5.0% |
| Amy Fox | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 21.6% | 39.4% |
| Molly LaFave | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 23.1% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.