← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University1.12+1.02vs Predicted
-
2University of Notre Dame-0.25+2.02vs Predicted
-
5Texas A&M University-0.60-0.40vs Predicted
-
6Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.02-0.65vs Predicted
-
7University of Texas-0.42-2.66vs Predicted
-
8Texas A&M University at Galveston0.08-4.54vs Predicted
-
9University of Notre Dame-1.38-3.01vs Predicted
-
10Rice University-1.60-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.02Tulane University1.120.5%1st Place
-
4.02University of Notre Dame-0.250.1%1st Place
-
4.6Texas A&M University-0.600.1%1st Place
-
5.35Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.020.1%1st Place
-
4.34University of Texas-0.420.1%1st Place
-
3.46Texas A&M University at Galveston0.080.2%1st Place
-
5.99University of Notre Dame-1.380.0%1st Place
-
6.22Rice University-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Cram | 45.6% | 27.6% | 13.9% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John O'Brien | 11.2% | 13.8% | 17.6% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 3.1% |
| Alexandra Oyston | 8.0% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 17.2% | 16.3% | 12.5% | 7.8% |
| Haley Walker | 5.3% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 19.8% | 17.4% |
| Caroline Bik | 8.5% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 5.4% |
| Octavio Frisoli Rodriguez | 15.3% | 18.7% | 20.8% | 17.4% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Molly LaFave | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 22.2% | 30.5% |
| Amy Fox | 2.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 21.7% | 34.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.