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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.12+1.01vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University-0.60+2.65vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston0.08-1.55vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-0.25-1.97vs Predicted
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7University of Texas-0.42-2.71vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-1.38-2.06vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.02-3.60vs Predicted
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10Rice University-1.60-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Tulane University1.120.5%1st Place
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4.65Texas A&M University-0.600.1%1st Place
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3.45Texas A&M University at Galveston0.080.2%1st Place
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4.03University of Notre Dame-0.250.1%1st Place
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4.29University of Texas-0.420.1%1st Place
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5.94University of Notre Dame-1.380.0%1st Place
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5.4Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.020.1%1st Place
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6.23Rice University-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Cram | 45.3% | 27.3% | 14.8% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Oyston | 7.9% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 8.0% |
| Octavio Frisoli Rodriguez | 16.0% | 18.0% | 20.9% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| John O'Brien | 10.7% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 17.6% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 7.3% | 3.9% |
| Caroline Bik | 8.8% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 5.4% |
| Molly LaFave | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 20.8% | 29.4% |
| Haley Walker | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 20.5% | 17.2% |
| Amy Fox | 2.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 22.7% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.