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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.12+1.07vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Galveston0.08+0.58vs Predicted
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5Rice University-0.97+0.43vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-0.25-1.83vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-0.60-2.21vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.02-2.53vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-1.38-2.87vs Predicted
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10University of Texas-0.42-5.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07Tulane University1.120.5%1st Place
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3.58Texas A&M University at Galveston0.080.1%1st Place
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5.43Rice University-0.970.1%1st Place
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4.17University of Notre Dame-0.250.1%1st Place
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4.79Texas A&M University-0.600.1%1st Place
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5.47Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.020.1%1st Place
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6.13University of Notre Dame-1.380.0%1st Place
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4.36University of Texas-0.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Cram | 45.3% | 25.9% | 14.6% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Octavio Frisoli Rodriguez | 14.8% | 19.3% | 18.3% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 1.6% |
| Zelun Wang | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 20.4% | 19.5% |
| John O'Brien | 10.3% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 5.0% |
| Alexandra Oyston | 6.4% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 9.0% |
| Haley Walker | 5.4% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 17.1% | 22.0% |
| Molly LaFave | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 20.6% | 36.0% |
| Caroline Bik | 8.8% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.