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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.81+1.33vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.04+0.03vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology0.25+1.04vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.29-1.17vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.01-0.56vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-0.97-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33Cornell University1.810.3%1st Place
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2.03Fordham University2.040.4%1st Place
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4.04Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.1%1st Place
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2.83Queen's University1.290.2%1st Place
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4.44McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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5.34Penn State University-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Love | 29.6% | 30.8% | 22.3% | 12.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Alex Reynolds | 40.6% | 29.7% | 18.9% | 8.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Christiani | 6.9% | 8.1% | 15.1% | 27.0% | 30.2% | 12.7% |
| Spencer Stubbins | 17.4% | 22.5% | 30.1% | 21.0% | 7.7% | 1.3% |
| Simon Li | 4.0% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 21.9% | 34.0% | 23.0% |
| Daniel Drummond | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 9.1% | 22.4% | 61.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.