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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University-0.60+3.86vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.12+0.13vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston0.08-1.45vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.02-0.38vs Predicted
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7Rice University-1.60-0.38vs Predicted
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8University of Texas-1.04-2.29vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.15-3.02vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-1.38-3.60vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame-0.25-6.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86Texas A&M University-0.600.1%1st Place
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2.13Tulane University1.120.4%1st Place
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3.55Texas A&M University at Galveston0.080.2%1st Place
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5.62Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.020.1%1st Place
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6.62Rice University-1.600.0%1st Place
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5.71University of Texas-1.040.1%1st Place
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5.98Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.150.0%1st Place
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6.4University of Notre Dame-1.380.0%1st Place
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4.14University of Notre Dame-0.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Oyston | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 5.7% |
| Harris Cram | 42.5% | 27.4% | 14.6% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Octavio Frisoli Rodriguez | 15.5% | 19.7% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Haley Walker | 5.3% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 11.5% |
| Amy Fox | 2.7% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 18.0% | 29.3% |
| Anish Zute | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 11.5% |
| Benjamin Moreno | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 14.9% |
| Molly LaFave | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 18.4% | 24.2% |
| John O'Brien | 12.6% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.