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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.38+4.20vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.82+4.77vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+4.76vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.60+0.64vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.70-0.56vs Predicted
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6Florida State University2.08+0.12vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.44+4.05vs Predicted
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8Duke University1.38+0.36vs Predicted
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9University of Florida2.20-3.32vs Predicted
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10Clemson University1.88-3.13vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia0.85-0.88vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University0.89-1.83vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-2.29vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina1.32-5.49vs Predicted
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15Auburn University-0.78-1.39vs Predicted
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16Florida State University2.08-9.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.2Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.77University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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7.76Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.1%1st Place
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4.64College of Charleston2.600.2%1st Place
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4.44Eckerd College2.700.2%1st Place
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6.12Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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11.05Rollins College0.440.0%1st Place
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8.36Duke University1.380.1%1st Place
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5.68University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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6.87Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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10.12University of Georgia0.850.0%1st Place
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10.17North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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10.71University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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8.51University of South Carolina1.320.0%1st Place
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13.61Auburn University-0.780.0%1st Place
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6.12Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lawless | 11.9% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Marten Kendrick | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Dahl | 16.0% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 16.9% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nelson Millett | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 20.2% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Pescini | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Allison Chenard | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Todd | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 18.0% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Brent DeAngelis | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 60.5% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.