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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Florida2.20+4.63vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.70+2.19vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.60+1.55vs Predicted
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4Clemson University1.88+2.75vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.38+0.33vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.82+0.94vs Predicted
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7Duke University1.38+1.37vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University0.89+1.95vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68+1.50vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-2.13vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia0.85-0.95vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina1.32-3.17vs Predicted
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13Florida State University2.08-6.66vs Predicted
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14Rollins College0.44-2.89vs Predicted
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15Florida State University2.08-8.66vs Predicted
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16Auburn University-0.78-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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4.19Eckerd College2.700.2%1st Place
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4.55College of Charleston2.600.2%1st Place
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6.75Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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5.33Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.94University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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8.37Duke University1.380.1%1st Place
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9.95North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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10.5University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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7.87Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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10.05University of Georgia0.850.0%1st Place
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8.83University of South Carolina1.320.0%1st Place
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6.34Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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11.11Rollins College0.440.0%1st Place
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6.34Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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13.6Auburn University-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Famiglietti | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 17.9% | 17.3% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Dahl | 15.4% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Pescini | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Todd | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Marten Kendrick | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Allison Chenard | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nelson Millett | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 19.8% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brent DeAngelis | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 12.2% | 63.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.