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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.60+3.47vs Predicted
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2University of Florida2.20+3.42vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.70+1.22vs Predicted
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4University of Georgia0.85+5.59vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.38+0.28vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+1.75vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.82-0.50vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.44+2.50vs Predicted
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9Duke University1.38-0.84vs Predicted
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10Clemson University1.88-3.37vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina1.32-2.70vs Predicted
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12Florida State University2.08-6.04vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University0.89-3.60vs Predicted
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14Florida State University2.08-8.04vs Predicted
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15Auburn University-0.78-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47College of Charleston2.600.2%1st Place
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5.42University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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4.22Eckerd College2.700.2%1st Place
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9.59University of Georgia0.850.0%1st Place
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5.28Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.75Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.1%1st Place
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6.5University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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10.5Rollins College0.440.0%1st Place
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8.16Duke University1.380.0%1st Place
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6.63Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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8.3University of South Carolina1.320.0%1st Place
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5.96Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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9.4North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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5.96Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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12.82Auburn University-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Dahl | 15.7% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 17.3% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allison Chenard | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 9.3% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marten Kendrick | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nelson Millett | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 22.8% | 16.0% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Pescini | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brent DeAngelis | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 13.6% | 63.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.