← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hamilton College0.59+1.71vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Maritime College0.50+0.58vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Stony Brook-1.30+2.20vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.87+0.69vs Predicted
-
5Stevens Institute of Technology-3.64-2.02vs Predicted
-
6Columbia University-0.13-2.44vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Military Academy-2.27-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.71Hamilton College0.5924.9%1st Place
-
2.58SUNY Maritime College0.5027.7%1st Place
-
5.2SUNY Stony Brook-1.304.0%1st Place
-
4.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.875.9%1st Place
-
2.98Stevens Institute of Technology-3.6423.2%1st Place
-
3.56Columbia University-0.1313.0%1st Place
-
6.27U. S. Military Academy-2.271.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Becker | 24.9% | 25.4% | 20.4% | 16.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 27.7% | 25.6% | 21.1% | 15.3% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Dimont | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 18.4% | 35.1% | 20.3% |
| Griffin Jones | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 24.2% | 27.4% | 10.8% |
| Tristan Feves | 23.2% | 19.8% | 18.7% | 19.5% | 13.3% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Chase O'Malley | 13.0% | 14.8% | 20.4% | 20.6% | 19.2% | 10.3% | 1.8% |
| Sarra Salah | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 17.1% | 65.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.