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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.04+1.08vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.81+0.25vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology0.25+1.02vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.01+0.35vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.29-2.05vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-0.97-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Fordham University2.040.4%1st Place
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2.25Cornell University1.810.3%1st Place
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4.02Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.1%1st Place
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4.35McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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2.95Queen's University1.290.2%1st Place
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5.34Penn State University-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Reynolds | 36.7% | 33.1% | 18.7% | 8.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Alison Love | 34.3% | 27.9% | 21.6% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Daniel Christiani | 7.1% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 26.6% | 30.4% | 12.6% |
| Simon Li | 4.0% | 6.6% | 13.0% | 22.3% | 35.5% | 18.6% |
| Spencer Stubbins | 16.3% | 21.6% | 28.3% | 20.9% | 10.0% | 2.9% |
| Daniel Drummond | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 10.1% | 17.7% | 64.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.