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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.09+4.67vs Predicted
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2Duke University1.38+5.66vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.82+3.55vs Predicted
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4Florida State University2.08+1.83vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.60-0.61vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.15-0.36vs Predicted
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7University of Florida2.20-1.85vs Predicted
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8Clemson University1.88-1.62vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-1.58vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University0.89-0.51vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia0.85-1.45vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.44-1.46vs Predicted
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13Florida State University2.08-7.17vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina1.32-6.05vs Predicted
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15Auburn University-0.78-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67Eckerd College2.090.1%1st Place
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7.66Duke University1.380.0%1st Place
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6.55University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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5.83Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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4.39College of Charleston2.600.2%1st Place
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5.64Jacksonville University2.150.1%1st Place
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5.15University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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6.38Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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7.42Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.1%1st Place
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9.49North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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9.55University of Georgia0.850.0%1st Place
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10.54Rollins College0.440.0%1st Place
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5.83Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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7.95University of South Carolina1.320.0%1st Place
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12.79Auburn University-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Chafee | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Pescini | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Dahl | 15.6% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Steo | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 13.4% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Marten Kendrick | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Allison Chenard | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Nelson Millett | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 24.8% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Brent DeAngelis | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 15.0% | 63.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.