← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Rochester Institute of Technology0.25+3.08vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University1.81+0.28vs Predicted
-
3McGill University-0.01+1.32vs Predicted
-
4Penn State University-0.97+1.30vs Predicted
-
5Queen's University1.29-2.05vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University2.04-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.08Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.1%1st Place
-
2.28Cornell University1.810.3%1st Place
-
4.32McGill University-0.010.1%1st Place
-
5.3Penn State University-0.970.0%1st Place
-
2.95Queen's University1.290.2%1st Place
-
2.07Fordham University2.040.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Christiani | 6.3% | 8.4% | 14.6% | 26.4% | 30.6% | 13.7% |
| Alison Love | 31.9% | 30.0% | 20.7% | 13.4% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Simon Li | 5.8% | 6.6% | 11.7% | 21.9% | 34.0% | 20.0% |
| Daniel Drummond | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 9.9% | 18.1% | 63.3% |
| Spencer Stubbins | 16.7% | 21.4% | 28.6% | 19.0% | 12.0% | 2.3% |
| Alex Reynolds | 37.9% | 30.7% | 20.0% | 9.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.