Race 3A

usf-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Shannon Killian 18.1% 17.0% 14.5% 13.3% 12.1% 10.3% 8.0% 3.3% 2.5% 0.9%
Rebekah Schiff 27.8% 20.5% 18.6% 13.4% 9.4% 5.5% 2.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Sophie Salomon 6.5% 6.3% 8.2% 8.0% 10.6% 10.8% 15.2% 16.1% 12.4% 5.9%
Alexandra Damley-Strnad 1.6% 3.0% 3.2% 3.8% 5.5% 7.2% 10.2% 12.2% 22.6% 30.7%
Louise Currie 10.6% 12.0% 10.3% 12.3% 12.5% 15.2% 8.9% 10.3% 5.7% 2.2%
Grace Mason 12.4% 13.5% 12.6% 15.4% 12.0% 11.9% 9.7% 6.9% 4.0% 1.6%
Kara Wheeler 3.8% 4.4% 7.3% 7.0% 9.4% 10.2% 13.5% 15.7% 16.8% 11.9%
Kate Flanagan 5.9% 7.0% 8.8% 9.0% 9.7% 12.1% 15.0% 13.9% 11.9% 6.7%
Hannah Sellers 2.3% 1.9% 3.7% 4.0% 4.5% 5.3% 8.6% 12.0% 19.7% 38.0%
Darcy Jensen 11.0% 14.4% 12.8% 13.8% 14.3% 11.5% 8.1% 8.1% 3.9% 2.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.