← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.60+1.93vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University2.08+1.92vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College1.15+3.00vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida1.81+0.44vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii1.59-0.12vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University0.85+0.53vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington1.11-1.00vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University1.78-3.48vs Predicted
-
9University of Miami0.22-1.24vs Predicted
-
10Florida State University0.09-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.93College of Charleston2.600.3%1st Place
-
3.92Salve Regina University2.080.2%1st Place
-
6.0Eckerd College1.150.1%1st Place
-
4.44University of South Florida1.810.1%1st Place
-
4.88University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
-
6.53North Carolina State University0.850.1%1st Place
-
6.0University of Washington1.110.0%1st Place
-
4.52Old Dominion University1.780.1%1st Place
-
7.76University of Miami0.220.0%1st Place
-
8.04Florida State University0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebekah Schiff | 29.9% | 21.3% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Shannon Killian | 15.1% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Salomon | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 11.8% | 6.7% |
| Darcy Jensen | 11.2% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Louise Currie | 10.9% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Kara Wheeler | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 11.9% |
| Kate Flanagan | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 7.4% |
| Grace Mason | 11.4% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Alexandra Damley-Strnad | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 24.2% | 29.4% |
| Hannah Sellers | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 18.7% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.