← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Shannon Killian 18.9% 16.8% 14.2% 13.5% 12.0% 8.9% 7.9% 4.9% 2.4% 0.5%
Louise Currie 9.4% 10.8% 11.8% 12.4% 12.8% 12.6% 11.2% 9.2% 7.9% 1.9%
Rebekah Schiff 26.3% 21.1% 19.1% 12.9% 10.0% 5.3% 3.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Sophie Salomon 5.5% 6.8% 8.7% 9.0% 11.1% 12.4% 12.9% 15.4% 11.5% 6.7%
Kate Flanagan 6.4% 8.8% 6.2% 8.8% 9.6% 11.9% 13.6% 15.6% 12.6% 6.5%
Darcy Jensen 14.7% 10.4% 14.3% 15.1% 11.0% 13.0% 9.6% 7.4% 3.2% 1.3%
Grace Mason 10.2% 14.0% 13.6% 13.7% 13.1% 12.8% 11.0% 6.3% 3.7% 1.6%
Hannah Sellers 1.6% 3.1% 3.4% 3.7% 5.0% 6.1% 8.7% 11.7% 20.0% 36.7%
Kara Wheeler 4.7% 5.5% 5.5% 6.1% 9.0% 11.6% 13.2% 15.8% 16.7% 11.9%
Alexandra Damley-Strnad 2.3% 2.7% 3.2% 4.8% 6.4% 5.4% 8.6% 12.3% 21.4% 32.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.