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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.78+3.48vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.85+4.61vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.15+2.96vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.60-1.06vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.81-0.57vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.11-0.03vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.08-3.10vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.22-0.26vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.59-4.08vs Predicted
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10Florida State University0.09-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48Old Dominion University1.780.1%1st Place
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6.61North Carolina State University0.850.1%1st Place
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5.96Eckerd College1.150.1%1st Place
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2.94College of Charleston2.600.3%1st Place
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4.43University of South Florida1.810.1%1st Place
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5.97University of Washington1.110.1%1st Place
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3.9Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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7.74University of Miami0.220.0%1st Place
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4.92University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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8.04Florida State University0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Mason | 12.8% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Kara Wheeler | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 13.5% |
| Sophie Salomon | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 6.2% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 26.3% | 23.2% | 17.4% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Darcy Jensen | 13.5% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Kate Flanagan | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 7.8% |
| Shannon Killian | 14.6% | 18.3% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Alexandra Damley-Strnad | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 14.9% | 22.3% | 29.3% |
| Louise Currie | 10.4% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Hannah Sellers | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 21.5% | 37.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.