Race 10A

usf-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Rebekah Schiff 27.7% 24.8% 15.4% 11.8% 8.9% 5.3% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Kate Flanagan 6.8% 5.5% 8.3% 9.2% 9.1% 11.8% 14.7% 12.7% 14.4% 7.5%
Louise Currie 10.7% 9.6% 10.6% 10.5% 14.7% 12.8% 14.1% 8.3% 6.7% 2.0%
Shannon Killian 15.1% 16.9% 16.4% 15.0% 13.8% 8.5% 6.6% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6%
Grace Mason 12.8% 12.4% 13.8% 12.4% 13.9% 12.0% 10.1% 8.1% 3.4% 1.1%
Darcy Jensen 13.1% 13.0% 12.9% 14.3% 12.9% 12.1% 7.9% 8.6% 3.8% 1.4%
Sophie Salomon 5.3% 7.6% 7.4% 11.3% 10.1% 12.6% 14.8% 13.6% 12.2% 5.1%
Kara Wheeler 4.5% 4.8% 8.1% 7.1% 8.3% 10.0% 12.2% 17.0% 15.6% 12.4%
Hannah Sellers 1.9% 2.4% 3.2% 4.0% 4.0% 6.8% 7.2% 13.4% 20.5% 36.6%
Alexandra Damley-Strnad 2.1% 3.0% 3.9% 4.4% 4.3% 8.1% 8.9% 11.5% 20.6% 33.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.