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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.59+3.88vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.08+1.92vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.81+1.56vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.85+2.58vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.60-2.10vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.22+1.73vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.78-2.47vs Predicted
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8University of Washington1.11-2.06vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.09-0.96vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.15-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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3.92Salve Regina University2.080.2%1st Place
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4.56University of South Florida1.810.1%1st Place
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6.58North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
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2.9College of Charleston2.600.3%1st Place
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7.73University of Miami0.220.0%1st Place
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4.53Old Dominion University1.780.1%1st Place
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5.94University of Washington1.110.1%1st Place
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8.04Florida State University0.090.0%1st Place
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5.94Eckerd College1.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louise Currie | 11.7% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Shannon Killian | 16.5% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Darcy Jensen | 11.3% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Kara Wheeler | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 11.2% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 28.3% | 22.4% | 18.6% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Damley-Strnad | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 12.8% | 22.2% | 31.3% |
| Grace Mason | 11.2% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Kate Flanagan | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 7.2% |
| Hannah Sellers | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 20.8% | 37.4% |
| Sophie Salomon | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.