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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.96+3.15vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92+4.69vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.16+3.70vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.97+8.64vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.07+1.26vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.27+4.28vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.52-2.10vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.21vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83-1.79vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy0.26-1.40vs Predicted
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11Columbia University0.43-2.69vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University1.80-7.99vs Predicted
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13Fordham University-0.35-2.46vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University-0.84-5.15vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-1.32-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15Cornell University1.9617.3%1st Place
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6.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.927.2%1st Place
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6.7University of Pennsylvania1.166.9%1st Place
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12.64Princeton University-0.970.9%1st Place
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6.26George Washington University1.079.4%1st Place
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10.28SUNY Maritime College-0.272.8%1st Place
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4.9Old Dominion University1.5213.5%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.294.2%1st Place
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7.21St. Mary's College of Maryland0.836.3%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Naval Academy0.263.6%1st Place
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8.31Columbia University0.433.5%1st Place
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4.01Georgetown University1.8018.4%1st Place
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10.54Fordham University-0.352.1%1st Place
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8.85Christopher Newport University-0.843.2%1st Place
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12.63Rochester Institute of Technology-1.320.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winborne Majette | 17.3% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 19.7% | 37.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 7.7% |
| Marina Conde | 13.5% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Lina Carper | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Linnea Forsberg | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Emily Doble | 18.4% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Murray | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 8.8% |
| Laura Smith | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 3.6% |
| Kristen McDonough | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 22.9% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.