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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology0.25+3.06vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.04+0.05vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.81-0.75vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.01+0.33vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.29-2.04vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-0.97-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.1%1st Place
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2.05Fordham University2.040.4%1st Place
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2.25Cornell University1.810.3%1st Place
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4.33McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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2.96Queen's University1.290.2%1st Place
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5.34Penn State University-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Christiani | 5.8% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 27.1% | 29.1% | 14.1% |
| Alex Reynolds | 40.2% | 30.1% | 17.7% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Alison Love | 31.6% | 29.7% | 24.1% | 11.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Simon Li | 4.7% | 6.2% | 11.9% | 23.9% | 35.0% | 18.3% |
| Spencer Stubbins | 16.3% | 22.3% | 27.7% | 19.1% | 11.6% | 3.0% |
| Daniel Drummond | 1.4% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 9.6% | 18.6% | 64.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.