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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.60+1.94vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.08+1.93vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.59+2.03vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.81+0.44vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.78-0.54vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.85+0.51vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.11-1.00vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.15-2.15vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.09-0.97vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.22-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94College of Charleston2.600.3%1st Place
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3.93Salve Regina University2.080.2%1st Place
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5.03University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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4.44University of South Florida1.810.1%1st Place
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4.46Old Dominion University1.780.1%1st Place
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6.51North Carolina State University0.850.1%1st Place
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6.0University of Washington1.110.0%1st Place
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5.85Eckerd College1.150.1%1st Place
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8.03Florida State University0.090.0%1st Place
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7.81University of Miami0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebekah Schiff | 29.4% | 22.0% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Shannon Killian | 15.1% | 17.9% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Louise Currie | 10.1% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Darcy Jensen | 11.8% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Grace Mason | 13.1% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Kara Wheeler | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 11.9% |
| Kate Flanagan | 4.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 6.8% |
| Sophie Salomon | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 6.4% |
| Hannah Sellers | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 23.5% | 35.6% |
| Alexandra Damley-Strnad | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 19.7% | 33.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.