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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.08+2.84vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.15+3.95vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.81+1.55vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.11+1.98vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.78-0.49vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.59-1.12vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.60-4.06vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.22-0.25vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University0.85-2.43vs Predicted
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10Florida State University0.09-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84Salve Regina University2.080.2%1st Place
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5.95Eckerd College1.150.1%1st Place
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4.55University of South Florida1.810.1%1st Place
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5.98University of Washington1.110.1%1st Place
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4.51Old Dominion University1.780.1%1st Place
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4.88University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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2.94College of Charleston2.600.3%1st Place
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7.75University of Miami0.220.0%1st Place
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6.57North Carolina State University0.850.1%1st Place
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8.01Florida State University0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Killian | 17.9% | 16.4% | 17.3% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Sophie Salomon | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 7.3% |
| Darcy Jensen | 11.7% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Kate Flanagan | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 7.4% |
| Grace Mason | 11.8% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Louise Currie | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 25.8% | 23.4% | 18.2% | 13.7% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Damley-Strnad | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 13.7% | 22.3% | 30.1% |
| Kara Wheeler | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 11.4% |
| Hannah Sellers | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 20.5% | 38.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.