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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.60+1.93vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.81+2.49vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.11+3.07vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.22+3.87vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.59-0.11vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.85+0.52vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.78-2.52vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.15-2.16vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.08-5.11vs Predicted
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10Florida State University0.09-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93College of Charleston2.600.3%1st Place
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4.49University of South Florida1.810.1%1st Place
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6.07University of Washington1.110.1%1st Place
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7.87University of Miami0.220.0%1st Place
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4.89University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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6.52North Carolina State University0.850.1%1st Place
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4.48Old Dominion University1.780.1%1st Place
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5.84Eckerd College1.150.1%1st Place
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3.89Salve Regina University2.080.2%1st Place
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8.02Florida State University0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebekah Schiff | 28.6% | 23.0% | 15.8% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Darcy Jensen | 12.4% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Kate Flanagan | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 11.6% | 7.3% |
| Alexandra Damley-Strnad | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 21.4% | 32.1% |
| Louise Currie | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Kara Wheeler | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 10.8% |
| Grace Mason | 9.9% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Sophie Salomon | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 6.4% |
| Shannon Killian | 17.0% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Sellers | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 20.1% | 38.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.