← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Rebekah Schiff 28.6% 23.0% 15.8% 11.6% 10.1% 5.2% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Darcy Jensen 12.4% 12.4% 14.3% 12.9% 13.6% 11.2% 10.1% 7.7% 4.4% 1.0%
Kate Flanagan 5.9% 7.0% 7.5% 7.4% 9.4% 13.3% 13.6% 17.0% 11.6% 7.3%
Alexandra Damley-Strnad 1.7% 2.3% 3.1% 4.3% 5.7% 7.0% 9.3% 13.1% 21.4% 32.1%
Louise Currie 10.4% 11.3% 10.4% 12.3% 13.4% 13.3% 13.0% 8.0% 5.2% 2.7%
Kara Wheeler 5.7% 4.9% 6.5% 8.1% 7.4% 8.9% 14.1% 14.9% 18.7% 10.8%
Grace Mason 9.9% 14.0% 14.2% 14.3% 14.3% 13.2% 8.0% 6.8% 4.2% 1.1%
Sophie Salomon 6.3% 7.2% 10.0% 9.9% 8.6% 12.7% 12.3% 14.9% 11.7% 6.4%
Shannon Killian 17.0% 15.3% 15.1% 15.2% 13.7% 9.4% 7.2% 4.4% 2.1% 0.6%
Hannah Sellers 2.1% 2.6% 3.1% 4.0% 3.8% 5.8% 8.9% 11.6% 20.1% 38.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.