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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.81+1.43vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.04+0.08vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.29-0.04vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology0.83-0.46vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.01-0.43vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-0.97-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Cornell University1.810.3%1st Place
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2.08Fordham University2.040.4%1st Place
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2.96Queen's University1.290.2%1st Place
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3.54Rochester Institute of Technology0.830.1%1st Place
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4.57McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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5.42Penn State University-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Love | 27.7% | 28.9% | 23.8% | 13.2% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Alex Reynolds | 40.7% | 27.2% | 19.4% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Spencer Stubbins | 17.2% | 21.0% | 24.3% | 25.4% | 10.7% | 1.4% |
| Charles Kowalyshyn | 9.7% | 14.0% | 20.1% | 29.8% | 21.4% | 5.0% |
| Simon Li | 3.4% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 15.2% | 39.3% | 25.6% |
| Daniel Drummond | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 7.4% | 20.3% | 66.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.